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Why Invest on the Texas Coast?
2730 Views :: 8 Comments :: :: Gulf Coast, Real Estate, Market Analysis, Investment, Second Homes

Why Invest on the Texas Coast?

UPDATE: See our 2008 article on "Why the Texas Coast real estate market is so hot"

Successful investors understand that real estate is a game of probabilities, not certainties, which is why you must look for converging probabilities before you buy in an area. The Texas Gulf Coast checks out on the key items to consider.

Taking action as an investor is imperative, but difficult. What elements and probabilities should you look for?

  • An area of strong demographic growth
  • A steady, growing, and diverse economy
  • An area of increasing retirement population
  • New substantial infrastructure changes
  • Undervalued markets
  • Property with strong appreciation potential
  • Good rental occupancy rates
  • Properties that renters prefer

Texas Coast is an area of strong demographic growth

Texas is one of three states dominating population growth, and will account for nearly half of total U.S. population growth (46%) in the next 25 years along with Florida and California.

According to the Census Bureau, California and Texas will continue to rank first and second in population, while Florida is set to surpassed New York by 2011 as the third most populous state.

Projections show that the top three states will gain 12 million people each by 2030, and most (88%) of the nation’s population growth will occur in the South and West. The top five fastest-growing states in the next 25 years are projected to be: Nevada (114%), Arizona (109%), Florida (80%), Texas (60%), and Utah (56%).

The housing market could also get a $200 billion boost from new immigrant home buyers, a national group of Hispanic real estate agents said Friday, if mainstream lenders begin using alternative methods to score credit. Creditors like Citigroup Inc.’s Citibank see recent immigrants as a growing market niche. A handful of new credit reporting systems — already used by 200 real estate brokers, community groups, and mortgage counselors nationwide — allows lenders to calculate risk by evaluating a prospective client’s utility bills, rent checks and other payments.

Housing markets in places like the Texas Gulf Coast would stand to gain the most, the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals said. “Gateway states like California and Texas will disproportionately benefit from the housing boom because so many of their residents are immigrants,” says Gary Acosta, the association’s co-founder, speaking at the group’s annual convention in Las Vegas.

The Texas Coast has a strong, growing, and diverse economy

Do not follow growth, Anticipate growth. A growing local economy is the most important driving force behind property values.

Texas Real Estate Center: The Texas economy continues to surpass the rest of the nation in employment growth rate and job creation.

TexasLabor

Texas ranks 12th among all states in personal growth income, which is closely related to total economic output. A higher-than-national-average growth rate means the state's economy is growing, and growing strongly.


The Texas Coast is an area of growing retirement population

The population of retired residents will more than double in the next ten years. Affluent retirees have disposable income, also fostering the creation of new businesses tailored specifically to retirees.

The distance between primary and second homes is decreasing according to an on-line survey of 2,053 homeowners in the West. In fact, 58% of vacation properties are located within 200 miles of the owner’s primary residence, and 42% are less than 100 miles away.

While 36 percent of vacation homeowners surveyed are 44 years of age or younger, baby boomers continue to drive the vacation home boom. 77 million baby boomers reside in the U.S. today, and are retiring at the rate of about four million people per year, which, according to Fannie Mae Economist David Berson, will boost demand by boomers for vacation homes steadily for at least the next decade.

The Texas Gulf Coast continues improvements in infrastructure

In May 2006, the Texas Legislature passed a comprehensive school-finance reform that lowers school property taxes by about $7 billion over the next three years

DOT Projects such as $21.6 million for the Cameron County Regional Mobility Authority for the West Loop project and a second causeway linking the mainland to South Padre Island and the Trans-Texas Corridor project.

The economic benefits to Texas from the Trans-Texas Corridor (TTC) will be substantial and grow over time, injecting billions of dollars in private spending into the state’s economy and creating millions of jobs, according to a study released today by the Texas Department of Transportation. According to the report, the economic stimulus over the next 25 years of the TTC-35 project from Oklahoma to Mexico is conservatively estimated at $1.4 trillion (in 2005 dollars), with 14.8 million person-years of employment gained.

The Texas Gulf Coast markets are undervalued

When incomes rise faster than home prices, the market becomes undervalued, enriching the investment environment, helping protect your investment from any real estate bubble and guaranteeing long-term valuation.

Despite a record-setting housing market, prices in Texas are increasing much slower than the rest of the country. Fears of a state housing price bubble waiting to burst are totally unsupported by the facts for the Texas real estate market

TexasHousingGrowthRates

The Texas Gulf Coast properties have a strong potential for appreciation

The Texas Gulf Coast area has a wealth of new construction projects currently under development and these units should hold their value longer, rent more easily, appreciate better, and be easier to maintain.

The Texas Coast property values have also benefited from recent increases in energy prices.

There is a strong demand for Texas Coastal properties from second home seekers countrywide looking for oceanfront property comparable to Florida and California but at half the price.

The Texas Gulf Coast has increasing interest from vacationers and good occupancy rates.

The increasing popularity from tourism marketing by the local convention and visitor centers and the improving attractions of the Texas Gulf Coast areas has put rental occupancy at an all time high. - The Texas Gulf Coast offers properties that the vacation rental market prefers: featuring the affordable sun and sand of the Gulf of Mexico.

Added to that, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama residents displaced by Hurricane Katrina relocated to Texas and the Texas residential rental market of apartments, houses and condominiums saw a great boost of occupancy, according to Dr. John Baen (pronounced BAIN), University of North Texas professor of finance, insurance, real estate and law.


Download the Texas Real Estate Center Report on Housing Appreciation
See the Texas Dept of Transportation Trans-Texas Corridor Project
Read Texas Housing Soars by TexasRealEstate.com
For more information, contact Mike Stuart of TexasGulfCoastOnline.com
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Comments
By admin @ Friday, November 10, 2006
South Padre Island Area Sales Up

While the rest of the nation has seen flat sales or very low increases, our area has sustained a steady increase in sales volume. There was a 10% increase in Total Sales from January through October from 2005 to 2006.

The Wall Street Journal's Real Estate Journal worked with Mike Sklarz, head of global research at New City Corp., a real-estate merchant banking and investment management firm based in Tokyo, to analyze the numbers to identify the top 12 vacation home deals across the U.S

The Real Estate Journal then investigated the areas further, looking at things like the availability and selection of vacation residences, and proximity to recreational and cultural offerings.

The editors at RealEstateJournal.com have now identified the top 12 vacation home deals across the U.S. where prices rose at a rate well below the national average of 84.3% between the second quarter of 1996 and the second quarter of 2006, and have above-average employment outlooks according to data from Economy.com.

The list of top 12 locales they identified includes South Padre Island Texas

By Kenya @ Saturday, November 25, 2006
South Padre Island's near-by major cities: McAllen and Harlingen have low cost of living.

McAllen is the fourth cheapest place to live in the United States and Harlingen is the fifth, according to a national quarterly cost of living index.

Both cities were among the cheapest places in the nation for housing, utilities, groceries, transportation, health care and other goods and services, at more than 15 percent below the national average of 289 urban areas measured in the third quarter.

Local experts have said the Rio Grande Valley’s low cost of living relates to the supply of cheap labor provided by the area’s abundant poor population.

By Kenya @ Sunday, November 26, 2006
Texas Dominates Big-City America
News Release No. 5, November 2006 By Bryan Pope

COLLEGE STATION, Texas – Everything is bigger in Texas, including the cities. At least that is according to recent U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates. Three Texas cities made the bureau’s list of the country’s top ten most populated metros for 2005.

Houston ranked fourth with a population of more than two million, San Antonio came in seventh with almost 1.3 million, and Dallas placed ninth with more than 1.2 million.

“The post-2000 period has clearly turned into a time of rapid growth for Texas cities, particularly its large and suburban cities,” said Dr. Steve Murdock, state demographer and research fellow with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

Not only does Texas have some of the largest cities, but it has some of the fastest-growing. From 2000 to 2005, Texas was the only state to have more than one city among the fastest-growing in America, and it had four. San Antonio, up more than 105,000 since 2000, ranked fourth; Fort Worth, up 82,700, ranked fifth; Houston, up nearly 60,000, ranked seventh; and El Paso, up nearly 35,000, ranked tenth.

Only Los Angeles (up 150,300 to 3.8 million), Phoenix (up nearly 140,000 to 1.5 million) and New York (up more than 134,500 to 8.1 million) added more new residents than San Antonio and Fort Worth.

For 2000–05 population growth by percentage, Texas again had four cities in the top ten. Fort Worth ranked first with a 15.3 percent increase. San Antonio ranked fourth at 9.1 percent, El Paso ranked seventh at 6.2 percent and Austin was tenth at 4.6 percent.

In fact, of the more than 1,200 Texas cities and towns covered in the Census Bureau’s 2005 report, 70 percent showed growth in the previous five years, with some smaller towns boasting especially impressive numbers. Hutto had a 492 percent growth between 2000 and 2005, while Dallas-area Fate and Little Elm grew by 406 and 365 percent, respectively.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Wichita Falls population dropped by nearly 4,400. Beaumont was next with a decrease of almost 1,900, followed by Pecos with 1,250.

For more on Texas growth, read “Big State, Big Cities, Big Growth” in the October issue of Tierra Grande magazine, the Real Estate Center’s quarterly journal.

The Real Estate Center has been providing solutions through research for 35 years. Funded primarily by Texas real estate licensee fees, the Center was created by the state legislature to meet the needs of many audiences, including the real estate industry, instructors, researchers and the general public.

By @ Friday, December 22, 2006
Texas leads in population growth

Fastest-Growing States
July 1, 2005 cq to July 1, 2006 cq

State, Percent Change
1. Arizona, 3.6 cq
2. Nevada, 3.5 cq
3. Idaho, 2.6 cq
4. Georgia, 2.5 cq
5. Texas, 2.5 cq

Top Numeric Gainers
July 1, 2005 cq to July 1, 2006 cq

State, Total Population Change
1. Texas, 579,275 cq
2. Florida, 321,697 cq
3. California, 303,402 cq
4. Georgia, 231,388 cq
5. Arizona, 213,311 cq

Texas gained 579,275 people, more than any other state, and Texas is the fifth fastest-growing state in the nation between July 1, 2005 and July 1, 2006, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That brings the state to an estimated total of 23.5 million

No one knows for sure, but it's reasonable to say that 120,000 cq to 160,000 cq of the population gain is Hurricane Katrina related, said state demographer Steve Murdock cq.

But with or without Hurricane Katrina, Texas would see a substantial population growth, Murdock said. By 2010 cq, there will be 25 million cq Texans, he said.

By Suzannah Gonzales
AMERICAN-STATESMAN STAFF

By @ Tuesday, December 26, 2006
The housing market looks healthy in the South, where the top market, McAllen Texas, is predicted to rise 8.5 percent in 2007, and another 9.8 percent in 2008.

In fact, four of the hottest U.S. home markets forecast for next year are in Texas according to Moody's Economy.com and real estate valuation company Fiserv Lending Solutions.

ByMike Stuart @ Friday, May 25, 2007
TEXAS ECONOMY STILL PUMPING

COLLEGE STATION (Real Estate Center) – The Texas economy continues to generate jobs at an annual rate of one percent above the national average. From April 2006 to April 2007, Texas nonfarm employment rose 2.4 percent compared with 1.4 for the U.S.

The state’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell from 5 percent in April 2006 to 4.2 percent in April 2007.

Higher oil prices cause pain for consumers at the gas pumps but produce employment gains for the oil and natural gas extraction industry petroplexes of Odessa and Midland. The state’s mining industry ranked first in job creation followed by professional and business services, construction, and the leisure and hospitality industry.

By mikestuart @ Saturday, June 16, 2007
TEXAS SURPASSES NATIONAL HOME APPRECIATION RATE

COLLEGE STATION (Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, Real Estate Center) – According to recent figures from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, home prices in Texas increased 6.8 percent during first quarter 2007, well above the 4.3 percent national average.

“Despite the national slowdown, Texas is still strong,” said Dr. James Gaines, research economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. “There’s no reason prices shouldn't continue to rise despite the increase in foreclosures and the slowdown in transactions, construction and new home starts.”

By comparison, home appreciation slowed to 1.2 percent in California and 3 percent in New York. Nevada price increases virtually disappeared at just .6 percent. Even rapidly growing Florida and Arizona reported value increases of 4.3 percent and 5.2 percent, respectively.

Within Texas, there is a wide variation in appreciation rates in the 25 metropolitan areas. Among the state’s large metro areas, Austin and San Antonio are seeing the strongest rate increases at more than 10 percent.

Meanwhile, the energy industry is fueling strong housing markets in some smaller metros. Home prices are up more than 21 percent in Midland and 16 percent in Odessa. Victoria prices are up 8.3 percent.

Some border communities are on fire as well, thanks to a surge in government hiring and business activity. Laredo is up 16.6 percent, while El Paso is up 11.2 percent.

By Real Trends @ Tuesday, July 03, 2007
The mid-year update of the top 25 U.S. housing markets by Housing Predictor shows a growing trend of real estate markets that are appreciating rapidly, while many of the nation's markets are depreciating just as fast. Housing Predictor forecasts more than 250 local housing markets in all 50 U.S. states.

The southeast portion of the nation still continues to control the majority of spots on the top 25 markets. Despite an increase in foreclosures in some Texas markets as a result of the subprime fallout, Texas still has the strongest statewide real estate market in the nation, where investors are flocking and appreciation is at its highest in years in many markets. Six Texas markets remain among the top 25.

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