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Texas Coast markets Under A Severe Slowdown
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1 Comments :: :: Gulf Coast, Market Analysis |
The Texas Gulf Coast market is under a severe slowdown from a "once in a century" devastating set of hurricanes, but history has shown coastal markets always recover.
It is a time of opportunity for our coastal area and the end results will be a better looking and a better built hurricane resistant marketplace when it's all said and done. 
The Crystal Beach Bolivar area sustained massive damage from Hurricane Ike, as did Galveston's west-end. It will take years for these areas to recover. Even in the worst hit areas, homes that were built hurricane resistant survived. This has spurred an interest in hurricane resistant home construction.
The new modern high rises in Galveston were unscathed and the areas behind Galveston's mighty seawall were damaged only by flooding and to a much smaller degree. Once again Galveston's seawall saved most of the city from the worst storm in recorded history. The behind the seawall modern high rise condo market in Galveston is booming.
South Padre has now recovered from Hurricane Dolly and the resort area is effectively back in operation. South Padre's white sands, blue water and tropical climate continues to draw tourists and second home owners from all over the nation - and Mexico and Canada.
The Port Aransas Mustang Island area was not affected by either hurricane, and the high dunes and stringent setback rules on Mustang Island, would have protected much of the housing anyway - according to the experts.
Texas still has the strongest real estate market fundamentals in the nation, and homeownership remains significantly more affordable in Texas than in the nation as a whole.
The future looks bright for the lone star state and the coastal area markets.
All the finished communities in our "rare and remarkable new developments" on the the Texas coast suffered only minor damage, if any, from hurricane Ike.
NOTE: Many of the Texas Coast including the Matagorda Bay Area, Port O'Connor, Rockport, Port Aransas, Corpus Christi and South Padre Island - experienced few effects from Hurricane Ike - and are open and ready for visitors.
Texas Coast Market Tips
Bolivar Penisula Crystal Beach
* Short Term: Hurricane Ike Massive Damage
* Long Term: Future Market from large capital investments in the Beaumont Port Arthur primary buyer/rental market - and the state's promise to rebuild the area and make it an example of modern urban renewal.
* Recommendation: Buy land now cheap in the proven safe areas for a long term investement. These areas include the high above sea-level and beach growing sections on the southern end of the peninsula. Starting just south of Crystal Beach.
Galveston Island
* Short Term: Buyer's Market - Massive Hurricane Ike Damage to areas not behind the massive seawall
* Long Term: Balanced Market from population growth and large local retirement population
* Recommendation: Buy behind the seawall and look for modern huricane resistant structures and in the areas that survived hurricane Ike with liitle damage. Emerald By The Sea, The Dawn and Diamond Beach are good examples.
Matagorda Bay Area
* Short Term: Balanced Market
* Long Term: Balanced Market
* Recommendation: Buy if you like the area. Innovative community developments in Port O'Connor and Palacios that will redfine those areas include the Sanctuary at Costa Grande and Beachside.
Corpus Christi Port Aransas * Short Term: Buyer's Market
* Long Term: Balanced Market from population growth and large local retirement population. Several new products are improving the area's appeal.
* Recommendation: Buy and look for motivated sellers or buy into the new area's re-defining products, examples include: Cinnamon Shore, Island Park Estates, Island Moorings area and Village Walk.
South Padre Island
* Short Term: Buyer's Market
* Long Term: Seller's Market when national housing market recovers, South Padre has Texas' only year round tropical climate, blue ocean water and white sands. The new super highway will improve access to the area.
* Recommendation: Invest in the new hurricane resistant highrises on the oceanfront. Rental Demand is always strong and these are the popular product on South Padre with a limited supply. Also look for new marina bayside home products with protected boat facilities. The Radisson, The Sapphire and the Marina Vista Villas at the Shore are good examples.
News from the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank The Texas economy continues to expand, but growth is decelerating due to a slowdown in the national economy.
Home prices continue to hold up in Texas. The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight house price index for second quarter 2008 shows that Texas continues to see home price appreciation, although the rate of increase has moderated (Chart 3). Texas home prices rose 3.6 percent year-over-year and 0.7 percent in the second quarter.

See full article here: http://dallasfed.org/research/update-reg/2008/0805.cfm
Texas continues to rank among the best states in the country for its business-friendly tax system, according to a national study.
The Tax Foundation is set to release its annual State Business Tax Climate Index findings on Oct. 6, with Texas moving up one slot in the 2009 rankings from No. 8 to No. 7.
The Index, published by the Washington, D.C.-based Tax Foundation since 2003, measures how well a state’s tax system encourages investment by maintaining a broad tax base and low rates. The scores take into account corporate tax, individual income tax, sales tax, unemployment tax and property taxes. The states are scored on these taxes, and the scores are weighted based on the relative importance or impact of the tax to a business.
TEXAS BORROWERS
Countrywide Financial has launched the largest program ever to help struggling homeowners in Texas.
Countrywide Financial was recently acquired by Bank of America and will provide a total of $8.7 billion to borrowers, $8.4 billion of which will be through direct loan relief that will affect about 400,000 people.
Countrywide will also waive $79 million in late fees and $56 million in prepayment penalties. Additionally, Countrywide will reduce principal balances in some cases and cut interest rates in others.
To qualify, the borrower's first payment must have been due between Jan. 1, 2004, and Dec. 31, 2007. The loan balance must be at least 75 percent of the current value of the home, and the borrower must be able to afford the adjusted monthly payments. |
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By
Reuters @
Saturday, October 11, 2008 |
Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said the U.S. housing market will begin to recover in the first half of 2009.
Greenspan said that the recent slowing in the rate of decline in U.S. home prices is the first positive note in the year-long trauma and that eventually, frozen credit markets will thaw "as frightened investors take tentative steps toward reengagement with risk."
More conclusive signs of pending home price stability are likely to become visible in the first half of 2009
Once the housing market finds it footing, markets will be able to tackle the core issues of the credit crisis. |
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