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The Sun is Rising on the Texas Coast Again
1049 Views :: 4 Comments :: :: Real Estate, Market Analysis
The Sun is Rising on the Texas Coast Again

The Lone Star state's coastal resorts are showing signs of market recovery following last year's humiliating hurricanes and the effects of the national recession.

Backed by billions of dollars from Insurance companies, federal and state funding, and foreign investors; AND, a large wave of Texas metro retirees looking seaward, the Texas coastal markets are poised for a prosperous and more sustainable market for years to come.
  • [Insurance and FEMA investments for the Texas coast are estimated at over 10 billion dollars and that is sure to spur local economic activity]
  • [The Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFRIE) says 73% of equity investors plan to funnel more money into the U.S real estate market this year and 58% plan to increase funding - also they believe the U.S. market will rebound first]
A silver lining of the hurricanes, which hit most of our coastal resort markets, was the removal of older structures built before the new storm resistant building codes which now require farther setbacks from the beach, higher elevations and more wind resistant construction standards. The massive storms also proved that our modern high rise condos and new residential home designs are indeed resistant to wind and flood damage, suffering only minor consequences.

Galveston Island has already placed a new blanket of beachfront sand along most of the seawall, as has South Padre Island - and construction activity is at nationwide leading levels, creating strong rental demand to augment short term tourism rentals.



We already discussed in last months news blog how demographic trends uniquely favor the Texas coastal markets for the future, while the rest of the nation is forecasting a much longer recovery.

With record low mortgage rates, the federal government's economic stimulus programs, and the huge pent-up demand for Texas coastal property about to burst, the time to invest in the right locations and products on the Texas coast has never been better. The best selections and most affordable opportunities are still available.

With inflation concerns predicted by respected experts like Warren Buffet, the enduring value of rare and unique real estate, like that found on the Texas coast, with its huge built in rental market from its nearby metro areas, makes carefully chosen Texas coast real estate an excellent hedge against inflation.

South Padre Island was the first of our Texas coast resort markets to be effected by the national downturn in real estate and is the first to show strong signs of recovery. Just look at the this report on South Padre's sales. Sales and Median price are up - time-on-market and inventory levels are down. The 2009 market stats for South Padre are surprisingly strong.



Act now, while our best bets last - too many market fundamentals nearly ensure that they won't be around for long and you'll be kicking yourself in the rear for not taking advantage of this unique moment in time.

Fed Chairman Believes The Recession Will End by Year End (2009)

Ben Bernanke sits down for rare interview with CBSNews’ 60 Minutes, discusses, banks, unemployment, American’s frustrations over bailout money, and how we will avoid the next Great Depression

In a rare interview with Ben Bernanke this past Sunday on CBS News’ 60 Minutes, the Fed Chairman said he sees the recession ending by the end of this year.

When asked by 60 Minutes Corresponded Scott Pelley, “”Mr. Chairman, I’m gonna start with a question that everyone wants me to ask: when does this end?” Bernanke said:

"We have a plan. We’re working on it. And I do think that we will get it stabilized, and we’ll see the recession coming to an end probably this year. We’ll see recovery beginning next year. And it will pick up steam over time."



If you missed the report, click here to watch the interview.
U.S. Treasury to buy up to $1 trillion of banks' toxic assets to fix the ailing U.S. financial system

The U.S. Treasury plans to help banks get rid of so-called toxic assets by buying $500 billion of the bad loans. The plan could expand to $1 trillion over time, the government announced Monday.

The Treasury Department released details of its plan Monday morning, saying it would use $75 billion to $100 billion in TARP capital and capital from private investors. The government said the Public-Private Investment Program will generate the $500 billion and the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. will provide the financing for the deals.

“This approach is superior to the alternatives of either hoping for banks to gradually work these assets off their books or of the government purchasing the assets directly,” according to a statement from the Treasury.

The private investors will compete with one another to set the price for the troubled loans and securities in order to help ensure that the government doesn’t overpay for the assets.

The Treasury Department released this detailed sample of how an investment under the Legacy Loans Program would work:
  1. If a bank has a pool of residential mortgages with $100 face value that it is seeking to divest, the bank would approach the FDIC.
  2. The FDIC would determine, according to the above process, that they would be willing to leverage the pool at a 6-to-1 debt-to-equity ratio.
  3. The pool would then be auctioned by the FDIC, with several private sector bidders submitting bids. The highest bid from the private sector – in this example, $84 – would be the winner and would form a Public-Private Investment Fund to purchase the pool of mortgages.
  4. Of this $84 purchase price, the FDIC would provide guarantees for $72 of financing, leaving $12 of equity.
  5. The Treasury would then provide 50 percent of the equity funding required on a side-by-side basis with the investor. In this example, Treasury would invest approximately $6, with the private investor contributing $6.
  6. The private investor would then manage the servicing of the asset pool and the timing of its disposition on an ongoing basis – using asset managers approved and subject to oversight by the FDIC.
Wall Street's reaction to the plan was favorable with a daily record gain of 500 points.

Read ABC News - The Dow Soars as Investors Back Bad Asset Plan
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By Dallas Morning News @ Friday, March 27, 2009
Only four U.S. housing markets experienced an increase in value during January,

and three of those were in Texas, according to a survey released by First American CoreLogic:

Austin–Round Rock saw a 3.9 percent increase in housing market value.

Houston–Sugar Land–Baytown reported a 3.6 percent increase

and Dallas-Plano-Irving home values jumped 1.5 percent.

By comparison, home prices nationwide fell 11.6 percent in January compared to a year ago.

By Austin Business Journal @ Friday, March 27, 2009
Ten of the top 25 fastest growing counties n the USA 2007 to 2008 are in Texas.

According to a Capital Area Council of Governments analysis of the most-recent U.S. Census report.

That’s more than any other state

Texas counties among the top 25 include:
Harris, No. 2
Tarrant, No. 5
Bexar, No. 10
Collin, No. 12
Dallas, No. 13
Travis, No. 14
Fort Bend, No. 18
Denton, No. 21
Williamson, No.23
Hidalgo, No. 24

By M. Anthony Carr - Bloomberg @ Saturday, March 28, 2009
2008 Home Prices Increase in Various U.S. States

Buried at the tail end of new report on Bloomberg.com was the news we've all been waiting for – home sales price increases.

States where prices moved upward include Texas at 3.6 percent

The price increases were reported by First American CoreLogic, which sells mortgage data and is based in Santa Ana, Calif.

Hopefully, these price increases are signs of things to come. Reuters news service ran a piece quoting Moody's Economy.com stating, "Despite the darkening national economic outlook and the weak conditions in the housing market, some positive signs give hope that a bottom in the housing market is coming into view," the report said, written by the group's chief economist.

"More than three years since the market began correcting, inventories are flattening, prices are coming back down to earth, and sales are approaching stability," the report said.

By Tracy Barnett HOUSTON CHRONICLE @ Sunday, March 29, 2009
Some exciting new options await you this spring and summer on the Texas Gulf Coast.

Port Aransas Museum - This one was home to several families and survived the 1919 hurricane before becoming a Coast Guard outpost and then a family home again. The home was abandoned and listed as one of the state's most endangered places by Preservation Texas in 2007 when a developer bought it and slated it for demolition. Local residents rallied to save it, move it to its current location and turn it into a museum showcasing local history.

Port Aransas - Newport Dunes Golf Club: This long-awaited Arnold Palmer-designed course opened in September and is the Gulf Coast's only seaside golf course.

Corpus Christi - Texas State Aquarium: Last year, the world-class aquarium unveiled Tortuga Cay, an endangered sea turtle sanctuary with above- and below-water viewing stations. The year before, it was the Wild Flight Theater, putting a talented crew of rehabilitated raptors on stage. This spring, the aquarium will finish Conservation Cove with the new Eagle Pass, a naturalistic outdoor habitat for the theater's birds of prey like Cowboy the crested caracara and Gus the white-tailed hawk.

Corpus Christi - South Texas Botanical Garden and Nature Center: This garden and wilderness retreat has been sprucing up its bird and butterfly trails over the winter and adding new ones. But the best is yet to come: Set to open in late spring are a new butterfly house and Anderson Bromeliad Conservatory.

Rockport - This year Rockport revitalizes its historic downtown, but don't let that stop you from visiting the colony of artists showcased in the downtown galleries.

South Padre Island - Sapphire Spa: Treat yourself at this new waterfront spa, the largest in South Texas.

Port Isabel - Black Dragon Cruises: Set sail on a pirate-theme cruise in a replica of a 17th-century Spanish Galleon.

The best part of the coast is the nature, whether it's on the beach or in the outlying coastal wildlands.

See full story at: http://www.statesman.com/life/content/life/stories/travel/03/29/0329txcoast.html

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